Wednesday, 27th February 2019
A message from the billionaires….
You know who I feel sorry for?
The world’s billionaires….
All 2,208 of the blighters (figure from Forbes)….
The richest fractional percentile of the world’s population has got it tough….
They get the blame for everything….
- Playing a good hand of cards….
We must remember that the billionaire didn’t necessarily ask to be part of the global financial elite….
He can’t help it if – as a result of his powers of intellect, creativity, innovation, technical expertise, capacity for hard work, tolerance to risk and out-and-out criminality (only one or two bad eggs!) – the world has rewarded him so generously….
He can’t be blamed if – as has happened – he got richer over the last decade of cheap and easy credit whilst everybody else got poorer….
The billionaire is like any other player at the table. He can only play the cards the universe has delivered into his hands….
And he must play that hand as best he can – to his own ends and advantage….
Which of us would not set out to do the same?
- Doing good out in the world….
But few people these days have sympathy for – or empathy with – the plight of the common-garden billionaire….… Click here to read more
Wednesday, 13th February 2019
Let’s start rating economic forecasters….
Some folk collect stamps….
Here at Money Truths we collect economic and market predictions that turn into train-wrecks….
Perhaps we have a strange sense of humour. Perhaps we are simply warped. Maybe a bit of both….
But we collect these things anyway….
Primarily, because they amuse us and because laughter is always the best medicine….
But also, because these tales of wrong-headedness serve as a constant reminder of the fallibility of ‘experts’ when it comes to predicting the future….
Take Irving Fisher, for instance….
He was a smart guy. He was widely considered one of the great economists of the first half of the 20th century. He figured out the relationship between inflation and interest rates, among other things….
He was just the type of guy you might expect to know what was going on – and what would happen next….
But the world – especially the world of money – doesn’t work that way. It can make a fool out of just about anybody. Even Fisher fell victim….
Back in 1929, Fisher had this to say about the stock market….
‘Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau….… Click here to read more
Monday, 28th January 2019
Don’t rule out a tax on ALL your bank deposits….
Here at Money Truths it is our belief that stocks are headed down….
For sure, there will be ups and downs along the way. Bear markets, corrections and even crashes are not perpendicular in nature….
But the general direction of travel will be toward lower stock values – significantly lower stock values – over time….
Of course, this is just our best guess. And we are always prepared – indeed, we expect – to be proved wrong….
Right now, legions stand against us on the field of play. Legions that believe now is the right time to buy….
The FT’s Ken Fisher was on the case last week. The headline of his column read thus….
‘Forget the investment losses of 2018, stocks will rebound….’
Fisher is bullish. ‘Don’t let the past blind you,’ he says. ‘2019 will be great….’
Fisher is founder and executive chairman of Fisher Investments. Maybe his viewpoint is entirely objective….
Or maybe what he ‘believes’ is bound-up with what he hopes might happen on a commercial basis….
Who knows? But Fisher is not alone….
‘Ignore all the Brexit hysteria and buy UK stocks….’
That was the headline of a Merryn Somerset Webb column on the Moneyweek website last week….… Click here to read more