Monday 16th September 2019
Not the sports results – but not so very different….
The pound is bouncing around day-to-day – reacting to each new twist and turn in every developing news story….
Brexit (or lack of it); Donald Trump’s on-off trade war with China; renewed tensions in the Middle East – all these issues and many more have an effect on the present value and future outlook of pound sterling….
Every official pronouncement, every fresh unfounded rumor and every new element of media speculation adds yet another variable to the simmering pot – leading to another revised market calculation of what the pound is worth against other currencies….
Who knows what the pound might be worth tomorrow morning?
All I can tell you is that this morning the pound was down 15% against the dollar, 13.7% against the euro and 12% against the Japanese yen since the eve of the European Union membership referendum in June 2016….
To put at least one of those figures into its proper context – the pound recently hit a 34-year low against the dollar….
- A writing down of values….
Back in the day when I was a young fool (as opposed to an older one) they had a short segment towards the end of News at Ten when Sandy Gall or Alastair Burnett would report what the pound was worth against the dollar….… Click here to read more
Tuesday, 3rd September 2019
Certainty should always be challenged….
Some folk get their fix of excitement and entertainment from sport….
Others play Tour of Duty or Assassin’s Creed….
Others still prefer the titillation served up on TV shows like Love Island or Naked Attraction….
Here at MT we get our kicks (and laughs) from the regular flow of mishaps and mayhem served up by the world of money….
- Winning investment advice for a new century….
We probably don’t have to go all the way back to the beginning of the 21st century to find a starting point for this week’s dose of truth….
But what the hell….
I was reminded about this scenario over the weekend and it is fresh in my noggin. So, here goes….
Back in August 2000 – with a brand-new untapped century stretching out in front of it – Fortune magazine attempted to hit the ground running by providing its readership with what it no doubt hoped would be some winning investment advice….
The piece was entitled 10 stocks to last the decade….
The idea was that if readers bought these stocks and held them over the next 10-years then they would surely do well….… Click here to read more
Monday, 19th August 2019
Two reasons why I’m more Novogratz than Trump on Bitcoin….
The yield curve is inverted. In the US and in Britain….
What that means in English is that capital is pouring out of the stock markets and into the perceived safety of long-term government-backed bonds – pushing up the prices of those bonds and diminishing yields….
So much so, the yield on long-term bonds has fallen below the yield on short-term bonds. It should be the other way around….
In an orthodox climate, lending money for longer periods is considered risker than lending short-term – and the rewards are greater as a result. That makes total sense….
But we do not live in orthodox times and things have been turned on their head. Right now, it costs the Us and UK governments more to borrow from investors over the short-term than it does over the long-term….
The VIX – a guide to levels of fear and complacency in the markets – says investors are more scared than they were. The reading spiked at 24.5 a fortnight ago. Right now, it sits on 18.4. That’s a higher reading than we’ve seen for most of the year….… Click here to read more